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Profitable Options Track Record
January – June 2010
Stock Sym
Call/ Expiration/ Date
Exit Profit Put Strike Price
Entered Date (Loss)
PS Ag Fd
DBA C Apr 25 11/16: 3.50 12/22
+$600
PS Sht S&P
SH C Feb 45 10/18: 3.50
12/1 ($250)
PS UltrS&P
SDS C Mar 25 10/18: 4.50 12/2
($250)
Dia Series
DIA P Mar 115 10/20: 8.00
12/7 ($400)
FTSE China FXI
P Jan 40 7/13: 3.00 12/1 ($100)
Un Nat
Gas UNG C Jan 5 8/16: 2.50
1/3 ($150)
Euro FX
FXE P Jan 140 10/14: 4.00
1/3 +$270
Rdx Yen
FXY P Mar 135 12/15: 6.00
12/30 ($300)
PS Sh QQQQ PSQ
C Jan 35 11/8: 1.50 1/3
($160)
Ult 20 yr Trs TBT
C Jan 30 7/12: 7.00 1/3 Even
Goldcorp GG C
Jan 40 5/5: 5.00 1/3 +$100
Newmont NEM C
Jan 60 10/21: 3.50 1/3 Exit ($105)
Baker Hughes BHI
C Apr 50 1/6: 8.00 1/26 +$800
Ensco ESV C
Mar 45 12/8: 6.00 1/31 +$420
Arch Dans ADM
C Mar 25 12/28: 5.00 1/18
+$500
Drx 20 Yr 3x TMV C Feb 35
11/3: 6.00 1/20 +$600
Kohl’s KSS P
Apr 60 12/7: 6.00 1/19 +$600
iShrs Silv Tr SLV
C Apr 25 12/8: 4.00 1/20 Even
Mkt Vctr Gld GDX
C Mar 55 12/10: 6.50 1/16
($150)
SPDR Gold Tr GLD
C Mar 130 12/16: 9.00 1/4 ($100)
PS Sht DJIA DOG
C Feb 40 12/16: 4.50 1/31
($100)
IAMGOLD IAG C
Mar 15 11/5: 2.50 1/20 +$250
Xerox XRX C
Apr 9 12/15: 2.00 1/18 +$200
HiYld Crp Bd HYG
P Mar 95 11/4: 7.00 1/16
($200)
FTSE Chn Idx FXI
P May 50 11/8: 5.50 1/31:
+$180
Rydex Euro FX FXE P Mar 140
12/13: 7.00 1/24 ($100)
PS QQQQ QQQQ P Mar 60
12/16: 6.00 1/26 ($200)
Bank of Amer BAC
C Mar 9 12/7: 3.00 1/31
+$110
Archer Danls ADM
C June 30 1/31: 3.00 2/17 +$300
Conoco Phill COP
C May 60 1/10: 7.00 2/22 +$700
Seabridge SA C
Mar 25 1/6: 6.50 2/23 +$600
Nabors NBR C
June 20 12/17: 4.00 2/18 +$400
Buffalo Wngs BWLD
P Mar 50 12/16: 5.00 2/13 Even
Microsoft MSFT
C Apr 25 1/14: 3.00 2/15
($100)
Aeropostale ARO
P Apr 28 12/16: 4.50 2/11
($150)
CVS Cremrk CVS
C May 30 1/19: 5.00 1/31 ($200)
S&P 500 Tr SPY
P June 135 1/12: 11.00 2/18 ($300)
Kinross Gold KGC
C May 15 12/16: 4.00 2/22
($200)
Encana ECA C
Jan 30 3/10: 3.50 3/20 +$250
Best Buy BBY P
June 40 1/5: 6.00 4/4 +$555
Silver Stand SSRI
C June 20 1/10: 7.50 4/4 +$450
Hwltt Pckrd HPQ
P May 50 1/10: 8.00 4/4 +$100
Encana ECA C
July 30 2/8: 3.00 4/4 +$230
Arch Coal ACI
C July 30 2/9: 4.50 4/4 +$205
Rydx Cn Dlr FXC
C June 95 12/20: 5.00 4/4 +$320
Coca Cola KO C
May 60 1/5: 4.50 4/4 +$300
Kinross Gold KGC
C May 15 1/5: 4.00 4/4 ($300)
PS US $ Bull UUP
P June 25 2/14: 3.00 4/4 Even
IS 7-10 yr Trs IEF
P Jun 100 1/10: 7.00 4/4 +$100
IS Hiyd CpBd HYG
P June 95 2/7: 7.00 4/4 ($200)
Dia Trust DIA
P Jun 124.75 2/18: 8.00 3/29 ($300)
Rdx Eu FX FXE
P June 140 2/1: 6.00 3/21 ($300)
PS Ulsh 20Yr TBT
C Jun 32 12/6: 6.00 3/29 Even
Yamana Gold AUY
C July 10 1/6: 3.00 4/4 Even
Royal Gold RGLD
C Jan 40 3/11: 10.00 4/27
+$1,000
Goldcorp GG C
Jan 40 3/16: 8.00 4/21 +$800
C R Bard BCR C
July 90 3/16: 9.00 5/2 +$800
Novartis NVS C
Jan 50 4/18: 4.50 4/28 +$450
Venoco VQ C
Sept 15 3/10: 3.50 5/2 Even
Talismn En TLM
C July 20 3/10: 4.50 5/2 Even
PS UlSht20yr TBT
C Sept 33 2/22: 6.50 4/18
($250)
IS China Ind FXI
P Aug 45 2/2: 5.00 5/2 ($300)
Eldorado EGO
C Jan 10 3/10: 5.50 5/2 +$310
Cameron CAM C
Jan 50 3/31: 12.00 4/11 ($200)
PS Sht 20 yr TBF
C Sept 41 3/1: 4.00 5/2 Even
IS FTSE Chn FXI
P Jan 45 3/8: 4.50 5/2 Even
PS QQQ Tr QQQQ
P Jan 65 3/3: 8.00 5/2 Even
IS 7-10 yr Trs IEF
P Jan 100 3/15: 9.50 5/2 Even
Kinross KGC C
Jan 10 3/3: 5.50 5/2 Even
Suncor En SU C
Jan 40 3/15: 7.50 5/2 +$130
Archr Danls ADM
C Jan 30 3/15: 6.50 5/2 +$125
Pfizer PFE
C Jan 15 4/21: 4.50 5/2 +$150
PS Shrt S&P SH
C Nov 33 4/21: 6.50
5/2 ($150)
Altria MO
C Jan 20 4/25: 5.00 5/2 +$180
Kmberly Clrk KMB
C Jan 60 4/25: 4.50 5/2 +$200
PS short Dow DOG
C Nov 33 4/26: 7.50
5/2 +$110
Cameco CCJ C
Jan 25 4/12: 5.50 5/2 Even
Nexen NXY C
Sept 20 41/5: 4.50 5/2 +$200
FTSE Xin Ch FXI P Jan 50
4/21: 6.00 5/2 +$100
IS 7-10 Trs Bd IEF P Jan
100 4/26: 9.00 5/2 Even
Bank of NY BK
P Jan 35 4/11: 5.00 5/2 +$150
US Bank USB P
Jan 30 4/7: 4.00 5/2 +$100
Agnico Egl AEM
C Aug 60 3/15: 9.00 5/13
($200)
Barrick Gold ABX
C Jan 45 3/16: 8.00 5/13
($200)
PS UlSh 20Tr TBT
C Jan 30 3/1: 8.50 6/1 ($350)
PS Ulsh 20Tr TBT
C Jan 30 4/26: 8.00 6/1
($200)
OPTIONS HIGH RISK FOR POTENTIAL
HIGH REWARD
Options trading has
large potential risks and also large potential rewards. You must be
aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest
in the options markets. Don't trade with money you can't afford to
lose. We are not recommending the purchase or short sale of these
options. The Model Portfolio is hypothetical. Hypothetical or
simulated performance results have certain limitations. Unlike an
actual performance record, simulated results do not represent actual
trading. Also, since the trades have not been executed, the results
may have under-or-over compensated for the impact, if any, of
certain market factors such as lack of liquidity. Simulated trading
programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are
designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being
made that any account will or is likely to achieve profit or losses
similar to those shown. All trades, patterns, charts, systems, etc.,
discussed in this publication and associated product materials are
for illustrative purposes only and are not to be construed as
specific advisory recommendations.
Trading should be
based on your own understanding of market conditions, price
patterns, and risk. Our information is designed to contribute to
your understanding of market conditions, price patterns, and risk.
Controlling risk through the use of protective stops is critical.
This newsletter has been prepared solely for informational purposes
and is not a solicitation, or an offer to buy or sell any
security. It does not purport to be a complete description of the
securities markets, or developments referred to in the material.
All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice. The
information is obtained from sources which we consider reliable but
we cannot guarantee that it is accurate or complete. We do not
undertake to advise you of any change in figures or our views. We,
our employees, clients, and or officers and directors, may from time
to time have a long or short position in the securities mentioned
and may sell or buy such securities. This publication should be used
only by sophisticated investors who are aware of the risks in
forecasting and in options trade. It is recommended that readers
carefully read the prospectus prepared by the Options Clearing
Corporation and restrict commitments to funds that can be lost
without undue financial hardship.
Hypothetical Trading Disclaimer
Options
trading has large potential rewards, but also large potential risk.
You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in
order to invest in the options markets. Don't trade with money you
can't afford to lose. This is neither a solicitation nor an offer to
Buy/Sell options. No representation is being made that any account
will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those
discussed in this newsletter. The past performance of any trading
system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future
results.
HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN
LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS
DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT
BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR
THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF
LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO
THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO
REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO
ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.
All trades,
patterns, charts, systems, etc., discussed in this publication and
associated product materials are for illustrative purposes only and
are not to be construed as specific advisory recommendations.
The Limitations of
Hypothetical Trading
The monthly Track Record is merely a guide to
how an average trader MAY do with our ideas. You should NEVER make a
trade basely solely on the ideas in this newsletter. It is important
that you do your own research and consult with a registered
financial professional on every position prior to committing your
own money.
We consider that a position may be entered if
the bid/ask spread swings during the day are such that splitting the
difference will be near our buy point. No representation is being
made that trades are actually executed at these prices.
Money Management Guidelines
Openings tend to be
overbought or oversold. If possible wait for the market to open
before placing your orders.
We actually prefer
to enter or exit trades in the last 30 minutes of trading but
realize that is difficult for many of our subscribers. Be very
careful with overnight orders especially in volatile markets like
the present.
One of most important rules is to cancel your
buy if the market gaps against you. That is another reason to trade
after the opening.
Try to trade during the market hours, not at
the opening. Openings tend to be quite overbought or oversold
because they reflect an imbalance of orders from public traders
received overnight.
You should trail stops between issues as move
in your favor.
Never let a 50% profit turn into a loss. For
example, if you buy at 4, with an initial stop of 2, that stop
should be trailed to 4, when the option hits 6. Then continue to
trail the stop loss closer as the option moves higher toward your
profit target.
Your stop loss should be fairly close at
entry, give it more room in the middle of the move, and as the price
approaches your target, move the stop closer to lock in as much
profit as possible.
There is no perfect stop loss method.
Experience is the best teacher.
Limiting your losses is the single most
important factor in your long term success as a trader. Losses are
the largest expense that your “trading business” incurs.
Options are
deteriorating assets, i.e., every day that goes by without a move by
the underlying stock, an option becomes less valuable. Never chase a
price for Call or Put. Let the price come to you. When we say “buy
near” it means to buy when the option price pulls back (lower lows)
for 2, 3 or 4 days. No stock goes straight up (or straight down) in
price. Prices move in waves. Timing is even more critical with
options than when buying stocks
Another entry
approach is to watch for a pullback to a stock’s uptrending 20 day
moving average to buy the suggested underlying Call. More
conservative traders should wait for a pullback to its 50 day moving
average.
To be successful you
must be actively involved in your trading. Much can change in a
month. Our monthly recommendations are only a starting point. The
best time to act on suggestions is the 3 weeks after publication.
By trailing stops
and adjusting buy zones you should significantly outperform the
Model Portfolio.
To be successful
trading options you must be actively involved on a daily basis. Much
can and does change during a whole month of trading. Daily changes
are often dramatic. Our monthly recommendations are only a starting
point. You need to review your positions every day.
Trailing your stops as the option goes up is critical to maximizing
your success. Once an option goes up 50%, you should not then let
the price drop back to a loss.
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